Afro-Islamic Gap v. Old Core

IQ and the Non-Integrating Gap,” by Arcane, gnxp, 26 September 2004, http://www.gnxp.com/MT2/archives/002790.html.

The great divide: Pew surveys Muslim public opinion,” by Allahpundit, Hot Air, 22 June 2006, http://hotair.com/archives/2006/06/22/the-great-divide-pew-surveys-muslim-public-opinion/ (from Michelle Malkin).

Air chaos as terror plot foiled,” by Michael Holden and and David Clarke, The Standard, 11 August 2006, http://www.thestandard.com.hk/news_detail.asp?pp_cat=16&art_id=24845&sid=9270156&con_type=3.

I’ve previously noted how the Non-Integrating Gap — those areas that are getting worse as globalization makes the world as a whole a better place — exports her violence to the Core — those areas benefiting the most from the global economy, Specifically I outlined how the Gap exported her terror to India and Israel.

Now the United Kingdom has been struck

British police foiled a suspected plot to blow up several aircraft mid-flight between Britain and the United States in what Washington said might have been an attempted al-Qaeda strike.

“We are confident we have disrupted a plan by terrorists to cause untold death and destruction,” said London police’s Deputy Commissioner Paul Stephenson Thursday. “Put simply, this was intended to be mass murder on an unimaginable scale.”

Sources said some of those held are British Muslims.

The security alert comes 13 months after four British Islamist suicide bombers killed 52 people and injured about 700 on London’s transport network.

While the Gap is both African and Islamic

tdaxps_new_map_md
Red = Gap, Yellow = Seam, Green = Core

A few things should be obvious:

  • The merely “African” portion of the Gap does not export terrorism. Terror — from India to Israel to England — is exported by Muslims. Islam is not a race, an ethnicity, or a nationality. It is a religion.
  • As a religion, it exists regardless of social status. During the London Train Bombings, we saw how a Muslim teacher of disabled children was part of the terror plot.
  • As a religion, it exists with little regard for geography. It appears the Muslims to were going to conduct this terror attack were British citizens.

The Global War on Terror, our long war, will be won when the Islamic world is lifted up from the Gap. This is for our benefit — no more of them exporting disease, plague, war, and terror, and for theirs. The Gap traps human beings in misery, poverty, and ignorance. The borders of the “non-integrating gap” are also very close to the borders of the lowest IQ nations:

Our actions, which are designed to change rulesets of action, thought, and behavior in the Islamic World, are going to invite retaliatory strikes…. even if the host populations of our enemies do not see a connection:

Therefore, we must firewall ourselves off from the terrorism of the Islamic Gap while changing regime rulesets of the Islamic Gap. Or, in simpler English, we are an open society, but we do not have to be an open society for all people at all times. And it may not be the risk.

3 thoughts on “Afro-Islamic Gap v. Old Core”

  1. It rankles me that Israel is not considered a seam state. How much more of a seam state could you get? The country runs under the rule of law that is on par with Core nations along with economic and technological prosperity. Its downfall is its proximity to its neighbors (seam) and the inconvenience of making that line swerve sharply in a near microscopic geography.

    Stu

  2. “we must firewall ourselves off from the terrorism of the Islamic Gap while changing regime rulesets of the Islamic Gap.” — if only it were so simple. Especially for one so enmeshed in networks, do you think there could be an effective three dimensional firewall in this world of lessening state capacity, increasing diasporas, and fluid and constantly reshaping identities that we used to know as 'nationalism'? Allegances change based on who you are at the moment. A mountain biker, an Arab, a Californian, a wine lover, an archeologist, etc. There are ways to connect through the web, cell, crackberries (aka blackberry), and yes, even mail.

    Firewalling of at a connection causes an interstice into a new network. Networks will then run parallel until a connection is made. Are you hoping to create a Pelican Bay (a maximum security prison in CA)? That only breeds hate and destruction.

    How do you segment who gets to be free in *a* society? “we are an open society, but we do not have to be an open society for all people at all times.”

    Did you look at the opportunity to divide & conquor in the Pew Report? Notably in Section III re OBL and AQ and the alienation these should be feeling in the Muslim world. Do we exploit it? No, not really. In fact, we are nearly oblivious to the differential between AQ and AM (associated movements) that is real. So real in fact, the US military doesn't use AQ in their briefings anymore, they use AQAM. How much are we self-perpetuating a stereo-type, limiting information, and creating images to justify political decisions? Zarqawri is something we created and empowered through our own propaganda. By not properly exploiting the inhumanity of “Them” and focusing on Justice and Law, we lose the opportunity and the high ground. When we stereo-type, we not only polarize but fail to capture significant nuances. West African Islamists are far different than East or Middle East Islamists, but yet I don't see how your modeling allows for this.

    This isn't give me a hug and make me feel good but reality based in sociology. Take a look again at Sageman's Understanding Terror Networks, Pape's Dying to Win, and even Major Cox's monograph “Information Operations in Operations Enduring Freedom and Iraqi Freedom รขโ‚ฌโ€œ What Went Wrong?” and I think you'll read something different in the Pew Research reports.

  3. Matt,

    Thanks for drawing me out.

    “Firewalling of at a connection causes an interstice into a new network. Networks will then run parallel until a connection is made.”

    Exactly. By shrinking the bandwidth of the connection between ourselves and feedback we dislike, we force the feedback to the filtered through other, parallel networks. This degrades the feedback, lessening its effect on us. We can see a similar thing happening now, with negative anti-US feedback being able to get no further than the United Kingdom. Also in this case the destructive interference from the filtering networks prevented a connection of the desired magnitude.

    “How do you segment who gets to be free in *a* society? “

    The simplest solution would seem to be identify communities in the Gap that export terrorism to us, and limit entry of members of those communities. This may take the form of significant visa hurdles on non-citizen Arabs or Muslims, for instance. (Only the Islamic half of the Gap exports much terrorism to us, so it is only that part we must worry about for now.)

    I don't know what you specifical mean by “associated movements,” but we have used division to create tactical and operational victories. Among Sunni Islamists, the Muslim Brothers in Iraq endorsed the recent Iraqi elections, for example, that al Qaeda in Iraq opposed. However, as the Romans knew, a lasting divide and conquer isn't based on making yourself seem nicer to people.

    I don't know what you mean by “Zarqawri is something we created and empowered through our own propaganda.” Is bin Laden too?

    “This isn't give me a hug and make me feel good but reality based in sociology. “

    The Mississippi of the social sciences ๐Ÿ˜‰

  4. Dan,

    “By shrinking the bandwidth of the connection between ourselves and feedback we dislike, we force the feedback to the filtered through other, parallel networks. This degrades the feedback, lessening its effect on us.”

    This assumes it in no way builds and festers. A patently false assumption that leads to very dangerous realities.

    Limiting access to “those communities” in a globally connected world is attempting to short-circuit both physical and electronic communication. Not bloody likely and I'd like to see a model on how this might be done. Dan, this doesn't agree with the reality of interconnectivity.

    About Zarqawri, you need to do research on his rise to “fame”, AQ's (yes, AQ's) insistence he reshape his mission, and his 'power' before the US put him on the pedestal for propaganda reasons.

    Is OBL also? In a certain way, but nearly as much. There was a reason American political discourse started to marginalize him (in debates) and focus more on AQ itself. OBL however is relatively smart, smarter than most of our other opponents (read AQ's strategic plan… it's available).

    Associated Movements is necessary because all isn't C2 from AQ. From entrepreneurs (i.e. pitch a mission, receive money and minor assistance, and go) to simply copy-cats to hopeful that want to 'catch OBL's eye', to trace all back to AQ is to imply and associate too much command and control in a central place and to neglect the power of the middle manager (so to speak) and the propagandist.

    The MI of social sciences? I'm aghast… actually I'm not because I don't know what you mean.

  5. Matt,

    “This assumes it in no way builds and festers. “

    Not really, and more likely the opposite. The increase in connectivity between the US and the Islamic World of recent decades has allowed those regimes to divert feedback it dislikes on us. New technologies, combined with our policies, allowed a gaggle of Egyptians and Saudis to give feedback to us that would have been given to local authorities in earlier times. It is that connectivity which allowed allowed violence in the greater middle east to build and fester, because globalization in those parts has short-circuited the local feedback loop.

    “AQ's (yes, AQ's) insistence he reshape his mission,”

    I'm aware of this, and I lectured to my students on Zawahiri's letter to Zarqawi. al Qaeda in Iraq is not al Qaeda, but (as you would say) an affiliated movement. That change either's status as violent feedback that we want over there (forcing those regimes to fight both terror and the causes of terror), rather than over here (which gives those regimes a breather).

    On that last joke: Because sociology related fields are famous for their avoidance of quantitative analysis and weak paradigms, little progress is achieved in that field. Just as any other state, no matter how poorly run, can always say “At least we are better than Mississippi,” any other social science, no matter how scandalized, can always say “At least we are better than sociology.” I know Catholicgauze has some unkind words for social geographies, the sociological contribution to his field…

  6. Social Geographies??? A bunch of no good %$@ (* &$#@! who don't know %$(#@ from ^%#@&!

    “Nah, let's gather at the S&M bar and talk about how Zionism uses Plan Columbia to stop social justices and then we can gather with the Marxist Specialty Group and try to make the Assoication of American Geographers into an activist group just like we did with the American Medical Assoication.” Hippies! It's called numbers! Use them!

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