The incoherence of your reply (obscene, unpunctuated, and with most of its words misspelled) is typical of both the Islamists who frequent this blog, as well as BGDN thugs who occasionally are here as well. Except the BGDN thugs tend to be careful spellers.

I think my conclusion from this post held up well, by the way:

Lebanon is now even further away from Syria’s sphere of influence than before the Hezbollah War. All actors see yet another failure by an Arab National-Secularist government, and another success by a Shia Theocratic government.

Lebanon will now be contested between the country’s indigenous, globally-oriented, Catholic-Sunni majority, and a smaller but well armed Shia minority. It is important that whatever country leads the SysAdmin effort in that country, be if France, Italy, or someone else, that the Catholic-Sunni majority’s interests are favored. Yet it is a mistake to believe that just because Hezbollah won the war Israel must lose the peace. On the contrary, by further weakening its primary 4GW adversary, Israel is closer to “peace” than ever.

Israel’s enemies seem to become smaller and more marginalized in each round.

After January 20, the thing to look out for is how and if Obama reshuffle’s the middle east.

Are you also saying that Israel is better able to co-exist with Shia theocracies? In which case Iran is no threat?

You can't honestly be saying that establishing Islamic theocracies (to help give people meaning in their lives) was the plan all along?

I've advocated free elections for the Muslim Brothers in Syria on April 2005 [1] and in Egypt on March 2005 [2], and have been sympathetic to Muslim fundamentalist aims in the middle east for longer than that.

Arab National-Secularism was Israel's main 4GW enemy in the Middle East since the early 1950s. Isreali actions since then have been wisely aimed at rolling that back. “Establishing Islamic theocracies” was no more the goal of the Israelis than establishing Stalinist dictatorships was the goal of America in the 1940s. That doesn't mean it wasn't part of the solution for a worse problem.

Israel is naturally surrounded by Sunni states, with only a small, politically nonviable Shia populace to its north. Israeli and Iran are natural cooperators, which is why they have often taken actions that help each other (think of Israeli knocking out Iraq's nuclear capacity during the Iran-Iraq war, or the Israeli-Iranian arms sale called the 'Iran-Contra Affair' by Americans, etc.).

Iran is a threat to Israel as long as one is an American client and the other is not.

Some of your comments hint at the next part of this series…

[1] http://www.tdaxp.com/archive/2005/04/05/muslim_brothers_want_to_run.html
[2] http://www.tdaxp.com/archive/2005/03/31/let_muslim_brothers_run.html