Climate Change

Barnett, T.P.M. (2007). In a nutshell, my “problem” with global warming. Thomas P.M. Barnett :: Weblog. February 3, 2007. Available online:

Catholicgauze. (2007). IPCC Report. Geographic Travels with Catholicgauze! February 3, 2007. Available online:

Two posts from two great writers. Guess which…

The United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has released a report (PDF) on climate change with much media fan fare. The press hyped it as proving human-caused global warming and saying there are only ten years left to avoid disaster…. However, when “leading” scientists still cannot find blame enough to convict debate is open to causes. Instead of wasting time trying to find blame and using it as a political tool to enforce treaties which impose no regulations on serious offenders like China and India, let us spend resources on efforts to prepare any needed adaption. If one believes the IPCC report, this is the only reasonable option. Wineries once existed in England and Scotland but natural climate change put an end to that during the Little Ice Age. I am not saying we should not worry about climate change. One warming trend ended the last Ice Age and raised sea levels over 300 feet so there are hazards. All I am saying is we need to be realistic and not join a Robert Christopherson-style cult of global warming.

… is which …

And let me be clear on this: I’m not saying it’s unimportant or not real or not profound or not historic. It’s just that, as a grand strategist, I see the logical stimulus-reaction process at work here, with no obvious differentials on the downside that change my view of the world (it sucks to be poor, it’s much better to be developed)…

In short, I expect the usual: the less connected to get the shaft, the more connected to do just fine, and any resulting conflict to be insulatable by the Core. To the extent the “cure” emerges, it will involve new industries that favor the most risk tolerant and the most incentivized-by-rising-connectivity (as in, my New Core).

(The coolest part, of course, is that they both recently linked to me l-) ).

7 thoughts on “Climate Change”

  1. I could guess by taking each excerpt and comparing it to the hyperlinks that were posted on the top of your article.

    …or I could just string up Tom to a chair and throw him in a lake to see whether he floats or not. If not, I would assume he wrote the less sinister sounding of the two, but we would unfortunately be one less geo-strategist.

  2. Well, it was part of a stupid joke, so I really didn't think it over until now.

    Unfortunately, Tom isn't within a convenient proximity for me to carry out my suggested method of guessing. Now, knowing me, I would assume Tom is a good guy. I will write off Catholicgauze as the sinister one by default (nothing personal).

    For whatever reason, the first post gave me impure thoughts about seeing Jim Inhofe in a Borat style beach thong, so that would probably suggest that the later one is the less sinister and, according to my logic, has to be none other than the words of Barnett olรขโ‚ฌหœ boy.

  3. As the owner of tens of thousands of shares of ExxMob, I recognize the words for which I paid good money:

    climate change

  4. It is official with sonofsamphm1c's comment: Oil Companies are this year's Jews.

    “Oil Companies are like Jesus Christ and Jack Daniels, they both get blamed for alot of things they didn't do.”

  5. I think it's going to last longer than a year.

    As late as the early 1980s, many oil companies refused to hire Jews. Or at least, that is what I've been told.

  6. Nor is Jack Daniels at work out there. Hell, he can't even get out of the Minneapolis airport.

    Honestly, I don't see much sinister in either post. In an apocalyptic vision of the end of climate as we know it, T.p.m.B.'s take could be seen as the end of gillions of lives as he essentially disallows “Go North Young Man” in the GAP. That would be my interpretation of getting the shaft and insulatable.

  7. sonofsamphm1c,

    I think Tom is both more and less hopeful for that. His basic misery is that “being very poor is very awful.” Thus, that the Gap gets the sharp end of climate change is no more surprising than that they get the sharp end of everything.

    Hopefully, though, the problems are caused by system-level rules that people can actually control. With the will & effort, we can shrink the Gap. And the lives of those who thus escape systematic poverty will be vastly, vastly better.

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