Shlok on 5GW: Worse than Wrong

Like Purpleslog I subscribe to Shlok’s RSS feed. We even have similar interests. He’s a good thinker and a good writer. Which is why nonsense like this is a kick in the teeth:

Shlok Vaidya’s Thinking › Key: Reacting To System Shocks
5GW is what we label the emergent pattern formed by a distributed multitude of empowered individuals acting in concert by acting in their own self interest, without any collaboration.

Point: Understanding that warfare is not all that different from any other system shock. Value: you build systems that are resilient and able to handle all of them.

Logic: The more naturally unpredictable events you can deal with, the better. Examples: tornadoes, earthquakes, volcanoes, etc. (Differentiated from brute force attacks such as hurricanes or any kind of warfare utilizing tanks.) The commonality is the disruption of service delivery infrastructure, now able to be replicated by small groups or one individual. The tactical mechanics of warfare matter less in an era where anyone can do anything at any time from scratch. This means flat, lean platforms that are able to foster reactions to all system shocks effectively are key.

RC’s [Resilient Communities] are the strategy until we can see or know more about 5GW (all we can currently know is in that paragraph), although I don’t think this core understanding will change.

As far as I can tell, Shlok is doing the following:

  1. Redefine a useful concept out of existence
  2. Defend that value-destroying definition by saying he doesn’t know what he’s talking about
  3. Defending his ignorance by saying his redefinition is probably right, anyway

It’s disappointing stuff.

An idea that is merely one is one that observes some phenomenon, and provides an incorrect interpretation of it. Shlok’s post is worth than wrong, as it obfoscates what the subject of study.

The idea of someone taking it seriously frightens me. Either that person would be an academic, and (honestly judging from the intellectual quality of the post) conclude that the entire generation of war framework is trash, or someone who seeks to use the information to do something practical, which he’ll find harder to do after surviving Shlok’s nonsense-ignorance-presumption three-step.

Life is way busier…

…. when you completely blank on the class project.

For the second semester in a row I am taking a “full load” of 12 credits (standard grad school rate is 9/semester). This means a lot of juggling on all fronts, especially with other things going on in life and the value this blog provides. So perhaps it’s understandable that I, er…

had one of those nightmare moments.

Fortunately, the final project is designed to build on work we’ve done all semester long, so in one mind-frying morning I was able to gather together 25 pages of near-gibberish together that at least informed me of what I needed to do. Then today revise (meaning completely writing the bulk of that), plus editing the rest. All on “dead weak,” when I’ve been trying to get this semester’s work done away. (Apartment shopping is on Saturday, the day that this project turns out to be due, and except for some assistantship stuff I want to begin summer work this coming week.)

The worst of it: it’s amazingly delightful outside, in the sort of if-you-sit-down-you-fall-asleep-in-the-cool-breeze-and-warm-sunshine sort of way.

Youch!

Boyd ’08: 5GW + SEI

Last years Boyd Conference at the Marine Corps University in Quantico, Virginia was a hit.

This year the location pivots, from that famous Marine Corp base, to deep in the heart of the unliberated zone. The topic is 5th Generation War and Super-Empowered Individuals, the location is Prince Edwards Island, and the network is to kill (or at least, disorient) for. The dates are September 20 and 21, 2008.

More details are available from Robert Patterson, who (along with the one-and-only Chet Richards) is doing the hard work of hosting it.

Insurance Deathwatch

Private health insurance as we know it will end one of two ways: either insurance companies will have enough access to genetic information that private health insurance ceases to pool a meaningful amount of risk, or else individuals know enough about their own genome to buy only the insurance they need, thus causing provide health insurance to cease being a meaningful pool of risk.

The Genetic Information Non-Discrimination Act tells us we have chosen the second death.

But at least we will get something out of it… information that will speed up the end of meaningful private insurance:

Genetic Non-Discrimination – The Corner on National Review Online
The bill prohibits insurance companies from requiring genetic testing or using genetic information to exclude individuals from insurance eligibility, and prohibits employers from using genetic information to discriminate against employees in hiring, promotion, and the like.

The Bush Administration had been pushing hard for such a bill since 2001, and both the House and Senate have actually passed different versions in the past few years, but final passage was repeatedly held up by concerns from some employers (which were quite legitimate, and have been addressed in this latest version) and even at one point caught up in a dispute over the use of genetic information collected from fetuses and embryos, which has also been addressed.

The immediate effect of the bill will probably have more to do with scientific research than with employment or insurance. Concern about the use of genetic information has been a big barrier to getting people to participate in genetic research in recent years, and among the foremost advocates of this bill were scientists hoping to relieve potential research subjects of that worry. That was also a major reason for the administration’s advocacy of the bill (silly rumors of a Republican war on science notwithstanding).

The bill really only begins to scratch the surface of the sorts of complex problems that genetic information will present to our health care system (and to the very concept of health insurance) in the coming years. But it’s a surface that needed some scratching.

Along with gene-therapy-based cognitive doping (essentially, eugenics in less than one generation) commercial comparative genomics is the most interesting life-sciences story of the next few decades. Stay tuned.