Really disturbing news, courtesy of Duck of Minerva:
MOSCOW: The U.S. ambassador to Russia has told a Russian daily that Washington strongly urged Georgia not to invade its breakaway province of South Ossetia.
John Beyrle also told the Kommersant Friday that Russia “gave a well-grounded response” to a Georgian attack on Russian peacekeepers, but exceeded its authority by invading Georgia proper.
Beyrle was quoted as saying that Russia should respect a cease-fire deal and withdraw its troops from the ex-Soviet neighbor to positions they held before the fighting erupted.
Of course, it’s not easy to know exactly what is meant by cheap talk, but the implications are troubling.Â The US has (verbally, at least) retreated from its post-Cold-War committment to keep the peace.
Some support actions such as this, by claiming (for no good reason, as far as I can tell) that Russia is a Core state.Â Hardly: Russian is an central asian dictatorship, a bigger version of Kazakhstan.
Supporters of Russia invasion speak of indirection, a 5GW effort to manipulate Russian actions into serving the Core’s instancese.Â Perhaps.Â Such a policy is similar to regulating crime on a domestic level, and is analogou to China’s “guanxi” system.Â Of course, this teaches the wrong lessons, and encourages more wars, whetheter they are part of a manipulation or not.
If the US Ambassador’s words are to be believed, we have suffered a serious blow to our power.Â There is little point in paying someone to provide a security function when the provider has lousy quality-of-service.Â We can expect a new birth of regional military alliances, an increase in terrorism secretly supported by states, reduced trust for US promises, a decline in Central Asian security, and so on.