China as a Leader
on October 30, 2008 at 9:20 am and modified on October 30, 2008. at 9:22 amTom has a pretty good post on China’s role in restarting the global financial system. Just as America stepped in to help Europe after the end of World War II, China is able to help America now.
China will be a leader in more things than just finance. The quest to build electrical cars — and free ourselves from foreign hydrocarbons — will be largely financed by China, not just as investor, but as consumer:
Will China be the new Electric Car mecca? It has to – AutoblogGreen
Electric vehicles are striving to have a beneficial impact on the world’s economy and are stirring interest from specialized and general media outlets. Forbes, for example, has just published an article on how China is going to become or, we should say, needs to become the mecca of the Electric Car.There has been a lot of news regarding EVs and China: a nationwide network of recharging stations, an array of hybrid and electric models (some a little bit odd). According to the Forbes editor, moving to EVs is more a necessity than some sort of inspirational eco matter. China is expected to have 700 million cars on the roads by 2050. That’s three times as more as the number of cars on U.S. roads now. Even with efficient powertrains, China would need 20 million barrels of oil per day to fuel its transportation sector, which in turn will emit about 3 billion metric tons of CO2 per year. This is unsustainable and unstable. A significant chunk of these vehicles need to use another type of energy – and electricity is what they have handy right now.
Between the Olympic War (which reminded us what Gap states do when oil prices are high) and the financial crisis (which show how the Core stands together in times of trouble), we’ve gotten back-to-back reminders of the importance of China in our world.
Presuming China survives this storm without some sort of collapse, we will have a good opportunity to reevaluate the constructive role that China can play in South Asia, South-East Asia, the Western Pacific, Western Eurasia, and Central Asia.
Saw this on Drezner’s blog today and it caught my eye as surprising.
http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/10/29/at-this-rate-the-worlds-financial-architecture-will-have-been-remade-before-november-15th/
Wonderful information about how China is going to be the next superpower. Well, either them or Russia.
My comment is more of a question. Do readers of this blog know what the SCO is? Well, the SCO unites six nations – Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, China, Russia, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan, with many more nations that the U.S. consider to be ‘less than friends’ wanting to join.
Do you believe that the SCO is the beginning of a formation of countries that will soon have the military and economic capability to take over America? I believe it is, and I suggest you all do some research into the SCO. It was supposedly created to curb drug trafficking and other negative things, but as with almost everything in the media, I believe this is just a front to start a coalition against the West. Is anybody with me?
Ethan,
Thank you for your comment. I am looking forward to new posts on your blog [1], as well!
While Russia and China are both dictatorships and both members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), the similarities end there.
China is a recently globalized wealth creating state interdependent with the rest of the world in terms of trade. China consumes raw and semi-raw materials, and produces more advanced goods. China might be called part of the ‘new core’ of the globalized economy, along with other recently globalized states (in eastern Europe, South America, and so on).
Russia is a hydrocarbon exporting state. Similar to Venezuela, Iran, and Saudi Arabia, Russia produces very little aside from the material it can extract from the ground. The Russian economy is not interdependent wiht the world economy, except to the extent that it requires a market for its oil and financing to get its oil.
The SCO is not an alliance of equals, but rather a club containing one wealth-creating state (China) and its natural resource supplies (Russia, Kazakhstan, etc). I have blogged about the SCO before [2,3,4], as well as ways that China seeks to insulate iself from Russia [5].
Eddie,
This is very good news:
[1] http://www.tdaxp.com/archive/2008/10/30/china-as-a-leader.html#comment-156014
[2] http://www.tdaxp.com/archive/2008/08/31/russia-spurned-by-china-lashes-out-at-europe.html
[3] http://www.tdaxp.com/archive/2008/08/29/the-sco-and-russia.html
[4] http://www.tdaxp.com/archive/2008/08/23/russia-against-the-shanghai-cooperation-organization-and-against-open-government.html
[5] http://www.tdaxp.com/archive/2008/10/12/that-other-pipeline.html
Eddie,
Awesome catch. This is indeed fantastic move. From a position of seeming weakness the Fed has made a bold strategic move that at once shores up the (admittedly weak) dollar as the world’s reserve currency and also ties in our new partners in the global system.
Singapore is probably more reliable than democracies. Its leaders are religiously pragmatic so if they are not supporting us on an initiative, there is probably a darn good reason that we should be paying attention to.
There are signs that Tom is now onboard with recognizing Russia as a big Iran [1,2], which would be good.
ElamBend & Eddie – excellent focus on our partners. New Core states such as Singapore are definitely in that list. Gap states like Russia are not.
Eddie.
[1] http://www.tdaxp.com/archive/2008/11/01/high-gas-prices-are-for-lack-of-better-words-bad.html
[2] http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/2008/11/same_as_it_ever_was_russia.html