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Positioned for the Future

by tdaxp ~ November 2nd, 2008

During August and September — when oil prices were high, Russia invaded Georgia, the financial crisis began unfolding, the doom-and-gloomers were at it. We were told that it was the end of capitalism. We were told that our foreign policy was being controlled by Mikheil Saakashvili. We were told that our choices were a close friendshp with Putin or a new Cold War.

Now it’s clear that such apocalyptic visions were not true.

  • Oil prices were high because of a bubble. They are still too high, but we can manage that.
  • Russia invaded Georgia because it is a Gap state with money and an army. That’s a serious problem, but one we can manage.
  • Our financial system melted down. We are rebuilding it.

Two good articles, one by Tom Barnett and the other by Victor Davis Hanson, help bring some santiy back to the discussion.

2 Responses to Positioned for the Future

  1. historyguy99

    Dan,

    You really nailed a clear vision of the future!

    best,

    HG

  2. tdaxp

    historyguy99,

    Thanks!

    I think the trendlines are pretty clear — where mistakes are easy to make, perhaps, are in prematurely upgrading the situation — for instance, classifying Georgia (which is Seam) or Russia (Gap) as Core…

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